Yesterday’s Bracket Preview from the NCAA gave us all a glimpse into the committee’s thought process. 15 of the 16 teams I had were in there. The only one I missed was I had Villanova sixteenth overall, while the committee had them seventeenth. So, we seem to be mostly on the same page.
My biggest takeaways were:
-This committee is heavily reliant on the eye test. Gonzaga, Nevada, and Purdue were all just a little higher than their resumes would have them, while Houston and Michigan were lower. This committee will seed from the gut, it seems.
-Duke will be a number one seed. They entered the Virginia game first overall and left Charlottesville with a ten-point win. They’ll land on the top line, even if they drop a few.
-Speaking of Virginia, they were at three overall entering yesterday’s home loss. A strong win by Kentucky moves them ahead of UVA onto the one line in my bracket already.
-The committee is not crazy about Big XII-leading Kansas State. They were not amongst the five seeds that just missed out on the top 16.