2/25 Bracket

Michigan’s home loss to Michigan State moves them to eight overall and in real danger of falling off the first two lines despite only four losses.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Canisius / Norfolk State

8 St John’s
9 Oklahoma

5 Maryland
12 Utah St / Alabama

4 Kansas St
13 New Mexico St

6 Iowa
11 Temple

3 Marquette
14 Drake

7 Louisville
10 Auburn

2 Michigan St
15 Wright St

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Lehigh

8 Washington
9 TCU

5 Nevada
12 Minnesota / Seton Hall

4 Kansas
13 Yale

6 Villanova
11 Arizona St

3 LSU
14 UC Irvine

7 Cincinnati
10 Florida

2 Michigan
15 Radford

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 St Francis / Prairie View A&M

8 Ole Miss
9 VCU

5 Florida St
12 Lipscomb

4 Texas Tech
13 Old Dominion

6 Mississippi St
11 NC State

3 Purdue
14 S Dakota St

7 Baylor
10 Ohio St

2 Tennessee
15 Texas St

MIDWEST

1 Kentucky
16 Sam Houston St

8 Wofford
9 Syracuse

5 Iowa State
12 Belmont

4 Wisconsin
13 Hofstra

6 Virginia Tech
11 UCF

3 Houston
14 Vermont

7 Buffalo
10 Texas

2 UNC
15 Montana

2/24 Bracket

Tennessee has now dropped two games since the Bracket Preview. They fall to the overall five seed (the best two seed).

EAST

1 Duke
16 Canisius / Norfolk State

8 St John’s
9 Oklahoma

5 Maryland
12 Utah St / Temple

4 Kansas St
13 New Mexico St

6 Iowa St
11 Minnesota

3 Marquette
14 Drake

7 Louisville
10 Auburn

2 Michigan
15 Wright St

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Lehigh

8 Washington
9 TCU

5 Nevada
12 Alabama / Seton Hall

4 Kansas
13 Yale

6 Iowa
11 UCF

3 LSU
14 UC Irvine

7 Cincy
10 Florida

2 Michigan St
15 Radford

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 St Francis / Prairie View A&M

8 Ole Miss
9 VCU

5 Florida St
12 Lipscomb

4 Texas Tech
13 Old Dominion

6 Mississippi St
11 NC State

3 Purdue
14 S Dakota St

7 Baylor
10 Ohio St

2 Tennessee
15 Texas St

MIDWEST

1 Kentucky
16 Sam Houston St

8 Wofford
9 Syracuse

5 Villanova
12 Belmont

4 Wisconsin
13 Hofstra

6 Virginia Tech
11 Arizona St

3 Houston
14 Vermont

7 Buffalo
10 Texas

2 UNC
15 Montana

2/21 Bracket

Seton Hall lost by one at home to Xavier. They’re now very close to being out of the field.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Canisius / Norfolk St

8 Washington
9 Auburn

5 Maryland
12 Lipscomb

4 Texas Tech
13 New Mexico St

6 Villanova
11 Arizona St

3 Houston
14 Texas St

7 Buffalo
10 Florida

2 Michigan St
15 Montana

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Sam Houston St

8 Ole Miss
9 Texas

5 Iowa State
12 Belmont

4 Florida St
13 Yale

6 Louisville
11 TCU

3 Marquette
14 Radford

7 Baylor
10 Ohio State

2 Michigan
15 Loyola Chicago

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 St Francis / Prairie View A&M

8 Wofford
9 St John’s

5 Nevada
12 NC State / Georgetown

4 Kansas State
13 Vermont

6 Virginia Tech
11 Seton Hall

3 Purdue
14 Old Dominion

7 Cincinnati
10 Minnesota

2 Kentucky
15 Bucknell

MIDWEST

1 Tennessee
16 Northern Kentucky

8 Syracuse
9 Oklahoma

5 Wisconsin
12 Alabama / Temple

4 LSU
13 Hofstra

6 Iowa
11 UCF

3 Kansas
14 UC Irvine

7 Mississippi St
10 VCU

2 UNC
15 S Dakota St

2/20 Bracket

UVA won at Virginia Tech to send their one seed odds soaring. They’re very likely to end up a one on Selection Sunday.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Canisius / Norfolk St

8 Wofford
9 Auburn

5 Maryland
12 Lipscomb

4 Texas Tech
13 New Mexico St

6 Villanova
11 Arizona St

3 LSU
14 Texas St

7 Buffalo
10 Seton Hall

2 Michigan St
15 Montana

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Sam Houston St

8 Ole Miss
9 Texas

5 Iowa State
12 Belmont

4 Purdue
13 Yale

6 Virginia Tech
11 TCU

3 Marquette
14 Radford

7 Baylor
10 Ohio State

2 UNC
15 Loyola Chicago

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 St Francis / Prairie View A&M

8 Washington
9 St John’s

5 Florida State
12 NC State / Butler

4 Kansas State
13 Vermont

6 Wisconsin
11 Alabama

3 Houston
14 Old Dominion

7 Cincinnati
10 Minnesota

2 Kentucky
15 Bucknell

MIDWEST

1 Tennessee
16 Northern Kentucky

8 Syracuse
9 Oklahoma

5 Louisville
12 Florida / Temple

4 Nevada
13 Hofstra

6 Iowa
11 UCF

3 Kansas
14 UC Irvine

7 Mississippi St
10 VCU

2 Michigan
15 S Dakota St

2/17 Bracket

Tennessee was thoroughly trounced by Kentucky at Rupp Arena last night. As a result, they fall to third overall. Virginia now moves into the South, while Tennessee heads to the Midwest.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Canisius / Norfolk St

8 Texas
9 Auburn

5 Villanova
12 Lipscomb

4 Texas Tech
13 New Mexico St

6 Maryland
11 Clemson

3 LSU
14 Texas St

7 Buffalo
10 Seton Hall

2 Michigan St
15 Montana

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Sam Houston St

8 Washington
9 TCU

5 Kansas State
12 Belmont

4 Purdue
13 Yale

6 Virginia Tech
11 VCU

3 Marquette
14 Radford

7 Ole Miss
10 Ohio State

2 UNC
15 Loyola Chicago

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 St Francis / Prairie View A&M

8 Wofford
9 St John’s

5 Wisconsin
12 NC State / Temple

4 Iowa State
13 Vermont

6 Florida St
11 Alabama

3 Houston
14 Old Dominion

7 Cincinnati
10 Minnesota

2 Kentucky
15 Bucknell

MIDWEST

1 Tennessee
16 Northern Kentucky

8 Syracuse
9 Oklahoma

5 Louisville
12 Arizona St / Indiana

4 Nevada
13 Hofstra

6 Iowa
11 UCF

3 Kansas
14 UC Irvine

7 Mississippi St
10 Baylor

2 Michigan
15 S Dakota St

2/13 Bracket

Tuesday was an amazing night of hoops, capped by a thrilling comeback by Duke against Louisville.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Monmouth / Norfolk St

8 Baylor
9 Ohio St

5 Maryland
12 NC State / Temple

4 Kansas State
13 New Mexico State

6 Virginia Tech
11 St John’s

3 Purdue
14 Radford

7 Cincinnati
10 Oklahoma

2 Kentucky
15 Loyola Chicago

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Sam Houston St

8 Washington
9 TCU

5 Villanova
12 Belmont

4 LSU
13 Davidson

6 Florida St
11 Alabama

3 Houston
14 Old Dominion

7 Mississippi State
10 Minnesota

2 UNC
15 Bucknell

SOUTH

1 Tennessee
16 Prairie View / Robert Morris

8 Syracuse
9 Texas

5 Louisville
12 UCF / Seton Hall

4 Texas Tech
13 Vermont

6 Wisconsin
11 VCU

3 Marquette
14 Texas State

7 Auburn
10 Clemson

2 Michigan
15 Montana

MIDWEST

1 Virginia
16 Northern Kentucky

8 Wofford
9 Ole Miss

5 Iowa State
12 Hofstra

4 Nevada
13 Yale

6 Iowa
11 Arizona State

3 Kansas
14 UC Irvine

7 Buffalo
10 Lipscomb

2 Michigan State
15 S Dakota St

Sunday Bracket

The team of the day on Saturday was TCU. They won at Iowa State and made their at-large prospects a whole lot better in the process.

Yesterday’s Bracket Preview from the NCAA gave us all a glimpse into the committee’s thought process. 15 of the 16 teams I had were in there. The only one I missed was I had Villanova sixteenth overall, while the committee had them seventeenth. So, we seem to be mostly on the same page.

My biggest takeaways were:

-This committee is heavily reliant on the eye test. Gonzaga, Nevada, and Purdue were all just a little higher than their resumes would have them, while Houston and Michigan were lower. This committee will seed from the gut, it seems.

-Duke will be a number one seed. They entered the Virginia game first overall and left Charlottesville with a ten-point win. They’ll land on the top line, even if they drop a few.

-Speaking of Virginia, they were at three overall entering yesterday’s home loss. A strong win by Kentucky moves them ahead of UVA onto the one line in my bracket already.

-The committee is not crazy about Big XII-leading Kansas State. They were not amongst the five seeds that just missed out on the top 16.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Norfolk St / Robert Morris

8 Baylor
9 Ohio State

5 Wisconsin
12 Butler / UCF

4 Iowa State
13 New Mexico St

6 Virginia Tech
11 Indiana

3 Marquette
14 Texas St

7 Auburn
10 St John’s

2 Michigan
15 S Dakota St

MIDWEST

1 Kentucky
16 Sam Houston St

8 Buffalo
9 Texas

5 Kansas State
12 Seton Hall / Temple

4 Nevada
13 Yale

6 Iowa
11 Alabama

3 Kansas
14 UC Irvine

7 Mississippi State
10 Oklahoma

2 North Carolina
15 Loyola-Chicago

SOUTH

1 Tennessee
16 Monmouth / Prairie View A&M

8 TCU
9 Wofford

5 LSU
12 Belmont

4 Texas Tech
13 Old Dominion

6 Florida St
11 VCU

3 Purdue
14 Radford

7 Cincinnati
10 Minnesota

2 Virginia
15 Bucknell

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Northern Kentucky

8 Syracuse
9 Ole Miss

5 Villanova
12 Arizona St

4 Louisville
13 Hofstra

6 Maryland
11 Clemson

3 Houston
14 Vermont

7 Washington
10 Lipscomb

2 Michigan St
15 Montana

2/8 Bracket Preview Bracket

Wofford won at East Tennessee State last night to move all the way up to a nine seed. They’re unbeaten against teams outside the top 35, and they were competitive against every opponent but Kansas.

The NCAA Bracket Preview is on CBS this Saturday afternoon.

Below is the final pre-Bracket Preview bracket. I feel pretty good about the sixteen teams I expect to see (the top four seed lines).

EAST

1 Virginia
16 Robert Morris / Norfolk State

8 St John’s
9 Texas

5 Virginia Tech
12 Davidson

4 Villanova
13 Old Dominion

6 Mississippi State
11 Temple

3 Michigan State
14 UC Irvine

7 Buffalo
10 Lipscomb

2 Houston
15 S Dakota State

WEST

1 Michigan
16 Northern Kentucky

8 Oklahoma
9 Syracuse

5 LSU
12 Murray State

4 Louisville
13 Bowling Green

6 Maryland
11 VCU

3 Marquette
14 Princeton

7 Washington
10 Ohio State

2 Gonzaga
15 Montana

SOUTH

1 Tennessee
16 Sam Houston State

8 Baylor
9 Wofford

5 Nevada
12 Hofstra

4 Iowa State
13 New Mexico State

6 Texas Tech
11 Indiana / UNC Greensboro

3 Purdue
14 Radford

7 Cincinnati
10 Mississippi

2 UNC
15 Loyola-Chicago

MIDWEST

1 Duke
16 Prairie View A&M / Rider

8 Auburn
9 TCU

5 Kansas State
12 NC State / Arizona State

4 Wisconsin
13 Vermont

6 Iowa
11 Seton Hall

3 Kansas
14 Texas State

7 Florida State
10 Minnesota

2 Kentucky
15 Bucknell

2/5 Bracket

EAST

1 Virginia
16 Norfolk St / Robert Morris

8 Ohio State
9 TCU

5 Virginia Tech
12 Davidson

4 Iowa State
13 Vermont

6 Iowa
11 Alabama

3 Marquette
14 Princeton

7 Florida State
10 Texas

2 Michigan State
15 Loyola-Chicago

WEST

1 Michigan
16 Sam Houston St

8 Washington
9 Syracuse

5 Nevada
12 VCU / NC State

4 Villanova
13 New Mexico State

6 Maryland
11 St John’s

3 UNC
14 Bowling Green

7 Oklahoma
10 Indiana

2 Gonzaga
15 Montana

SOUTH

1 Tennessee
16 Prairie View A&M / Rider

8 Baylor
9 Minnesota

5 Texas Tech
12 Belmont

4 Louisville
13 Old Dominion

6 Kansas State
11 Seton Hall / Nebraska

3 Purdue
14 Radford

7 Auburn
10 Lipscomb

2 Kansas
15 Montana

MIDWEST

1 Duke
16 Lehigh

8 Cincinnati
9 Ole Miss

5 Mississippi State
12 Hofstra

4 Wisconsin
13 Georgia State

6 LSU
11 Arizona State

3 Houston
14 UC Irvine

7 Buffalo
10 Wofford

2 Kentucky
15 Northern Kentucky

1/27 Bracket

The race for number one seeds is particularly close this year. Michigan just edges out Tennessee for the final one seed due to a slightly better collection of wins.

EAST

1 Virginia
16 Norfolk State / Robert Morris

8 Ohio State
9 Washington

5 Iowa State
12 Hofstra

4 Villanova
13 Yale

6 Maryland
11 Seton Hall

3 Houston
14 UC Irvine

7 Kansas State
10 Nebraska

2 Kentucky
15 Northern Kentucky

WEST

1 Michigan
16 Prairie View A&M / Sam Houston State

8 Baylor
9 Syracuse

5 Purdue
12 Murray St

4 Louisville
13 North Texas

6 Wisconsin
11 Temple / Texas

3 Virginia Tech
14 Texas State

7 Buffalo
10 NC State

2 Gonzaga
15 Cal State Bakersfield

SOUTH

1 Michigan State
16 Northern Colorado

8 Auburn
9 Cincinnati

5 Nevada
12 Lipscomb

4 Texas Tech
13 Radford

6 Mississippi State
11 Wofford

3 North Carolina
14 Vermont

7 TCU
10 Indiana

2 Tennessee
15 South Dakota State

MIDWEST

1 Duke
16 Rider

8 Minnesota
9 Ole Miss

5 Oklahoma
12 UCF / Creighton

4 LSU
13 George Mason

6 Iowa
11 Arizona State

3 Marquette
14 Loyola Chicago

7 Florida State
10 St John’s

2 Kansas
15 Lehigh