1/20 Bracket

UVA fell from the ranks of the unbeatens in Durham last night, but Michigan’s loss keeps them at one overall.

EAST

1 Virginia
16 Robert Morris / Norfolk State

8 Indiana
9 NC State

5 Louisville
12 Butler / Washington

4 Oklahoma
13 Vermont

6 Buffalo
11 St John’s / St Louis

3 Kentucky
14 Texas State

7 Kansas State
10 Arizona State

2 Michigan State
15 South Dakota St

WEST

1 Duke
16 Prairie View A&M / Sam Houston State

8 Ole Miss
9 Ohio St

5 Nevada
12 Murray St

4 Texas Tech
13 Hofstra

6 Purdue
11 Cincinnati

3 Houston
14 UCSB

7 Florida St
10 Texas

2 Maryland
15 Northern Kentucky

SOUTH

1 Michigan
16 Rider

8 Mississippi State
9 Minnesota

5 Iowa
12 Liberty

4 LSU
13 Loyola Chicago

6 Iowa State
11 VCU

3 UNC
14 Princeton

7 Auburn
10 Baylor

2 Gonzaga
15 Weber State

MIDWEST

1 Tennessee
16 Cal State Bakersfield

8 TCU
9 Syracuse

5 Villanova
12 Wofford

4 Virginia Tech
13 Radford

6 Wisconsin
11 Temple

3 Marquette
14 Marshall

7 Nebraska
10 Seton Hall

2 Kansas
15 Bucknell

1/16 Bracket

EAST

1 Michigan
16 Norfolk St / Sam Houston St

8 TCU
9 Syracuse

5 LSU
12 VCU / Baylor

4 UNC
13 Georgia St

6 Nebraska
11 Alabama / Texas

3 Marquette
14 Valpo

7 Iowa
10 Arizona St

2 Texas Tech
15 Detroit

WEST

1 Duke
16 UMKC / Prairie View A&M

8 Seton Hall
9 Temple

5 Auburn
12 Murray St

4 Nevada
13 UCSB

6 Florida State
11 St Louis

3 Oklahoma
14 Princeton

7 Purdue
10 Kansas St

2 Gonzaga
15 Weber St

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 Purdue Fort Wayne

8 Iowa State
9 Ohio St

5 Louisville
12 Liberty

4 Houston
13 Hofstra

6 Buffalo
11 St John’s

3 Maryland
14 UTSA

7 Wisconsin
10 Cincinnati

2 Tennessee
15 Rider

MIDWEST

1 Kansas
16 Wagner

8 Mississippi State
9 Minnesota

5 Villanova
12 Wofford

4 Kentucky
13 Stony Brook

6 Indiana
11 NC State

3 Virginia Tech
14 Winthrop

7 Ole Miss
10 UCF

2 Michigan State
15 Lehigh

1/15 Bracket

Duke lost at home to Syracuse, but they just edge out Tennessee for the last one seed. For the same reason Tennessee was behind Kansas, they remain behind Duke. They haven’t played as tough of a schedule and they simply don’t have comparable wins. Duke has five wins over top seven seeds, while Tennessee only has two wins over tournament teams. It’s not just the number of Q1/2 wins; it’s also their overall quality.

EAST

1 Michigan
16 Norfolk St / Sam Houston St

8 Mississippi St
9 Syracuse

5 LSU
12 VCU / Baylor

4 UNC
13 Georgia St

6 Nebraska
11 Alabama / Texas

3 Marquette
14 Valpo

7 Iowa
10 Arizona St

2 Texas Tech
15 Detroit

WEST

1 Duke
16 UMKC / Prairie View A&M

8 Purdue
9 TCU

5 Auburn
12 Murray St

4 Nevada
13 UCSB

6 Florida State
11 St Louis

3 Oklahoma
14 Princeton

7 Indiana
10 Kansas St

2 Gonzaga
15 Weber St

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 Purdue Fort Wayne

8 Iowa State
9 Ohio St

5 Louisville
12 Liberty

4 Houston
13 Hofstra

6 Ole Miss
11 St John’s

3 Maryland
14 UTSA

7 Wisconsin
10 Temple

2 Tennessee
15 Rider

MIDWEST

1 Kansas
16 Wagner

8 NC State
9 Minnesota

5 Villanova
12 Wofford

4 Kentucky
13 Stony Brook

6 Buffalo
11 Cincinnati

3 Virginia Tech
14 Winthrop

7 Seton Hall
10 UCF

2 Michigan State
15 Lehigh

1/13 Bracket

Kansas edges out Tennessee for the last number one seed not only because of a head-to-head win, but also because of a stronger schedule and clearly better wins (Tennessee, Michigan State, Marquette, and Oklahoma are all 2 or 3 seeds in this bracket, whereas Tennessee only has two wins against the field at all).

EAST

1 Duke
16 Norfolk St / Sam Houston St

8 Purdue
9 Kansas St

5 Florida St
12 VCU / Washington

4 Kentucky
13 Georgia St

6 Wisconsin
11 St Louis

3 Marquette
14 Valpo

7 Iowa St
10 Arizona St

2 Michigan St
15 Detroit

WEST

1 Kansas
16 UMKC / Prairie View A&M

8 Mississippi St
9 Ohio St

5 Indiana
12 Murray St

4 Nevada
13 UCSB

6 LSU
11 Texas

3 Virginia Tech
14 Princeton

7 Iowa
10 St John’s

2 Gonzaga
15 Weber St

SOUTH

1 Michigan
16 Purdue Fort Wayne

8 NC State
9 Nebraska

5 Auburn
12 Liberty

4 UNC
13 Hofstra

6 Villanova
11 Cincinnati

3 Oklahoma
14 UTSA

7 Seton Hall
10 Temple

2 Tennessee
15 Rider

MIDWEST

1 Virginia
16 Wagner

8 TCU
9 Minnesota

5 Louisville
12 Wofford

4 Maryland
13 Stony Brook

6 Buffalo
11 Alabama / Arizona

3 Houston
14 Winthrop

7 Ole Miss
10 UCF

2 Texas Tech
15 Lehigh

1/10 Bracket

Duke is an obvious one seed; just watch them
Kansas barely sneaks past Tennessee for the last one seed. They can thank a head-to-head win and five Quadrant 1 wins, while playing the best schedule in the country.
Undefeated Michigan is a clear one seed

EAST

Unbeaten UVA is an obvious one seed, too.

1 Duke
16 Norfolk St / Robert Morris

8 Texas
9 Temple

5 Florida State
12 North Texas

4 Indiana
13 Liberty

6 Auburn
11 VCU

3 Oklahoma
14 UCSB

7 Mississippi St
10 Nebraska

2 Gonzaga
15 N Colorado

WEST

1 Kansas
16 Sam Houston St / Purdue Fort Wayne

8 NC State
9 Ole Miss

5 Buffalo
12 Wofford

4 Kentucky
13 Hofstra

6 Iowa State
11 Cincinnati / Purdue

3 Houston
14 Lehigh

7 Ohio St
10 Alabama

2 North Carolina
15 Valpo

SOUTH

1 Michigan
16 Rider

8 TCU
9 Louisville

5 LSU
12 Murray St

4 Nevada
13 Georgia St

6 Maryland
11 Arizona

3 Virginia Tech
14 Princeton

7 Iowa
10 Arizona St

2 Tennessee
15 Cal State Bakersfield

MIDWEST

1 Virginia
16 Green Bay

8 St John’s
9 Minnesota

5 Wisconsin
12 Florida / St Louis

4 Marquette
13 Stony Brook

6 Villanova
11 UCF

3 Texas Tech
14 Texas Southern

7 Seton Hall
10 Syracuse

2 Michigan St
15 Winthrop

1/6 Bracket

Nevada was blown out at New Mexico and drops to a four seed. With a bad loss and no chances for truly great wins, the chances of a one seed are all but done.

EAST

1 Duke
16 Morgan St / Robert Morris

8 Texas
9 Nebraska

5 Florida State
12 St Louis / Creighton

4 Mississippi St
13 Wofford

6 Marquette
11 VCU

3 Texas Tech
14 UCSB

7 St John’s
10 Syracuse

2 Michigan State
15 N Kentucky

WEST

1 Tennessee
16 Grambling / Iona

8 Louisville
9 Villanova

5 Kentucky
12 Lipscomb

4 Nevada
13 Hofstra

6 Seton Hall
11 Arizona

3 NC State
14 Stony Brook

7 TCU
10 Purdue

2 Gonzaga
15 New Mexico St

SOUTH

1 Michigan
16 Purdue Fort Wayne

8 LSU
9 UCF

5 Auburn
12 Belmont

4 North Carolina
13 Georgia St

6 Ohio St
11 Temple / Butler

3 Virginia Tech
14 Princeton

7 Buffalo
10 Iowa

2 Oklahoma
15 Abilene Christian

MIDWEST

1 Virginia
16 Holy Cross

8 Maryland
9 Alabama

5 Iowa St
12 North Texas

4 Indiana
13 Loyola-Chicago

6 Wisconsin
11 Ole Miss

3 Houston
14 Portland State

7 Minnesota
10 Arizona St

2 Kansas
15 Winthrop

Sunday Bracket 12/30

One Seeds

Duke clearly looks the part of a one seed, so they are the top overall seed. Unbeaten Michigan is an easy call, too. After that, it’s a tough call between Kansas, Tennessee, and unbeaten Virginia. But Kansas and Tennessee have better wins than Virginia and Kansas’s head to head over Tennessee gives them regional preference.

The Atlantic Sun and Ohio Valley

You’re not dreaming; the Atlantic Sun and Ohio Valley are getting their own paragraph. In this bracket, Belmont appears as a ten seed while Lipscomb is a 12. Belmont and Murray State both have quality wins already so if one of them can dominate the Ohio Valley, an at-large may follow.

Similarly, the Atlantic Sun could produce an at-large. Lipscomb won at TCU while Liberty won at UCLA. The best thing for the Atlantic Sun is for Lipscomb to run roughshod over the conference before having Liberty or NJIT win the conference tourney.

The Bracket

EAST

1 Duke
16 Morgan St / St Francis NY

8 Villanova
9 Iowa

5 UNC
12 Furman

4 Wisconsin
13 Penn

6 Buffalo
11 Clemson

3 Houston
14 UCSB

7 LSU
10 Belmont

2 Nevada
15 Seattle

WEST

1 Tennessee
16 Abilene Christian

8 Iowa St
9 Butler

5 Mississippi St
12 Texas / Syracuse

4 Virginia Tech
13 North Texas

6 Nebraska
11 Providence

3 Oklahoma
14 Montana

7 TCU
10 Temple

2 Gonzaga
15 Northern Kentucky

SOUTH

1 Michigan
16 Niagara / Grambling

8 Cincinnati
9 Arizona St

5 Florida St
12 Lipscomb

4 Kentucky
13 Indiana St

6 Auburn
11 VCU

3 Texas Tech
14 S Dakota St

7 Kansas St
10 Minnesota

2 Virginia
15 Stony Brook

MIDWEST

1 Kansas
16 Gardner-Webb

8 Seton Hall
9 Purdue

5 Ohio St
12 Arizona / Notre Dame

4 NC State
13 Charleston

6 Indiana
11 Vanderbilt

3 Marquette
14 Texas State

7 Louisville
10 St John’s

2 Michigan State
15 Lehigh


First Bracket for 2019

Welcome back to the site everyone!

We are now over a month into the season, and there is finally enough data to make a reasonable bracket.

ONE SEEDS

With a win over Gonzaga, the Bulldogs are a clear one seed and unbeaten Kansas is, too, with neutral court wins over Tennessee, Michigan State, and Marquette. Surprisingly strong Michigan is overwhelming opponents and is third overall, while Duke passes the eye test with such flying colors that the last one seed goes to them.

WEST

1 Gonzaga
16 Long Island

8 Nebraska
9 Iowa State

5 Arizona
12 San Francisco / Colorado

4 Wisconsin
13 Southern Illinois

6 Arizona St
11 Minnesota

3 Texas Tech
14 Stony Brook

7 Kentucky
10 TCU

2 Nevada
15 Abilene Christian

SOUTH

1 Duke
16 Gardner-Webb / Marist

8 St John’s
9 Maryland

5 Virginia Tech
12 VCU

4 Houston
13 Northern Colorado

6 NC State
11 Kansas St

3 Ohio St
14 Charleston

7 Buffalo
10 Butler

2 Tennessee
15 Texas St

MIDWEST

1 Kansas
16 South Dakota St

8 Purdue
9 Syracuse

5 Mississippi St
12 Belmont

4 Florida St
13 UC Irvine

6 Marquette
11 Washington

3 Michigan St
14 Northern Kentucky

7 Furman
10 LSU

2 Virginia
15 Lehigh

EAST

1 Michigan
16 NJIT / Howard

8 Louisville
9 Cincinnati

5 Villanova
12 New Mexico St

4 UNC
13 North Texas

6 Iowa
11 Florida

3 Oklahoma
14 Texas Southern

7 Indiana
10 UCLA

2 Auburn
15 Pennsylvania

Final Bracket

Thanks to everyone for following the site this season. I feel good about my first seven lines and really uneasy with lines 8-11 (especially having an underwhelming Louisville in).  Davidson’s victory over Rhode Island moves St Mary’s to my first team out and drops USC into the First Four in Dayton.

My first four out are, in order, St Mary’s, Arizona State, Marquette, and Middle Tennessee.  Baylor, Syracuse, and Oklahoma State are also serious contenders.  Any other at-large selection would really surprise me.

Here is the final bracket:

SOUTH

1 Virginia
16 Penn

     (Pittsburgh, PA)

8 Kansas St
9 Butler

5 Houston
12 South Dakota St

     (Boise, ID)

4 Texas Tech
13 Murray St

6 Ohio State
11 St Bonaventure / Creighton

     (Nashville, TN)

3 Tennessee
14 SF Austin

7 Seton Hall
10 NC State

     (Nashville, TN)

2 Cincinnati
15 UMBC

WEST

1 Xavier
16 NC Central / Long Island

     (Detroit, MI)

8 Virginia Tech
9 Oklahoma

5 Gonzaga
12 New Mexico St

     (San Diego, CA)

4 Arizona
13 Marshall

6 Arkansas
11 USC / Louisville

     (Dallas, TX)

3 Michigan State
14 Wright State

7 TCU
10 UCLA

     (Detroit, MI)

2 Purdue
15 Lipscomb

EAST

1 Villanova
16 Texas Southern / Radford

     (Pittsburgh, PA)

8 Nevada
9 Florida State

5 Clemson
12 Buffalo

      (Boise, ID)

4 West Virginia
13 Charleston

6 Florida
11 Davidson

      (Wichita, KS)

3 Michigan
14 Montana

7 Texas A&M
10 Texas

        (Charlotte, NC)

2 North Carolina
15 Georgia State

MIDWEST

1 Kansas
16 Cal State Fullerton

     (Wichita, KS)

8 Missouri
9 Providence

5 Kentucky
12 San Diego State

     (San Diego, CA)

4 Wichita State
13 UNC Greensboro

6 Miami
11 Loyola-Chicago

     (Dallas, TX)

3 Auburn
14 Bucknell

7 Rhode Island
10 Alabama

     (Charlotte, NC)

2 Duke
15 Iona