Tournament / Bubble Picture

We are now officially four weeks from Selection Sunday. With that in mind, the bubble has now trimmed itself and we have four distinct categories of teams: Tourney Bound, Looking Solid, Truly Bubbly, and Longshots.

Let’s break down each category.

TOURNEY BOUND – These 8 teams are going to the NCAA Tournament:

Villanova, UNC, Kansas, Virginia, Xavier, Auburn, Michigan State, and Purdue

LOOKING SOLID – These 23 teams are likely to be in the field and will cement a spot with the following number of regular season wins:

Ohio St – 1
Texas Tech – 1
Clemson – 2
Creighton – 2
Duke – 2
Tennessee – 2
West Virginia – 2
Alabama – 3
Arizona State – 3
Arkansas – 3
Butler – 3
Cincinnati – 3
Florida – 3
Kentucky – 3
Miami – 3
Missouri – 3
Oklahoma – 3
Providence – 3
Seton Hall – 3
Texas A&M – 3
Wichita State – 3
Florida State – 4
TCU – 4
Rhode Island – 5

TRULY BUBBLY – These teams represent the “true bubble.” Some will play themselves in comfortably, some will play themselves out, and some will stay on the bubble all the way through the Selection Show:

Louisville, Texas, USC, Nevada, Michigan, St Mary’s, Syracuse, Boise St, New Mexico State, Western Kentucky, Marquette, Houston, Washington, SMU, Kansas State, Gonzaga, UCLA, Colorado, Middle Tennessee, Notre Dame, NC State, Virginia Tech, Utah, Nebraska, Mississippi State, Temple, St Bonaventure, Oklahoma State, Baylor, and LSU

LONGSHOTS – These teams aren’t totally out of it, but their bubble is on the verge of being popped:

South Carolina, Buffalo, Georgia, Oregon, Maryland, Wyoming, Loyola-Chicago, UCF, Boston College, BYU, Ole Miss, Tulane, Iowa State, Stanford, Memphis, and Indiana

If you were keeping count, 31 teams from 7 conferences are Tourney Bound, Looking Solid, or in Good Shape. That means there are only thirteen bids available for teams that are Truly Bubbly or Longshots.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *