We are just over a week from the Super Bowl, which means we are under two months from Selection Sunday. With that in mind, the bubble has now trimmed itself and we have five distinct categories of teams: Tourney Bound, Cruise Control, Looking Good, Truly Bubbly, and Longshots.
Let’s break down each category.
TOURNEY BOUND – These 4 teams are going to the NCAA Tournament:
Villanova, Duke, Kansas and Purdue
CRUISE CONTROL – These 7 teams are all but going dancing, but they just need another quality win or two to cement their spot:
UNC, Xavier, Virginia, Clemson, Auburn, Oklahoma and West Virginia
LOOKING GOOD – These 17 teams should be dancing, but they’re a long ways away from locking up a bid:
Tennessee, Ohio State, Miami, TCU, Arizona, Kentucky, Louisville, Texas Tech, Seton Hall, Cincinnati, Arkansas, Michigan State, Creighton, Wichita State, Arizona State, Florida and Texas
TRULY BUBBLY – These teams represent the “true bubble.” Some will play themselves in comfortably, some will play themselves out, and some will stay on the bubble all the way through the Selection Show:
Rhode Island, Nevada, Butler, Providence, Alabama, Michigan, USC, St Mary’s, Texas A&M, Syracuse, Boise St, Florida State, New Mexico State, Western Kentucky, Missouri, Marquette, Houston, South Carolina, Washington, SMU, Kansas State, Georgia, Utah, Gonzaga, UCLA, Colorado, Notre Dame, NC State, Virginia Tech, Oklahoma State, Oregon and LSU
LONGSHOTS – These teams aren’t totally out of it, but their bubble is on the verge of being popped:
Middle Tennessee, Buffalo, Temple, St Bonaventure, Maryland, Wyoming, Loyola-Chicago, Nebraska, UCF, Boston College, BYU, Mississippi State, Ole Miss, UConn, Iowa State, Baylor, Stanford, Memphis, Minnesota, Penn State and Indiana
If you were keeping count, 28 teams from 7 conferences are Tourney Bound, in Cruise Control, or Looking Good. That means there are only fifteen bids available for teams that are Truly Bubbly or Longshots.
And if your favorite school isn’t listed anywhere, there’s always the conference tournament. Otherwise, better luck next year.