Tournament Picture

The season is moving right along, and the path to at-large selections is starting to emerge. While some teams will see huge swings in their profiles, most teams are already grouping themselves into positions that they will remain in for some time based on both resume and actual ability.

With that in mind, here are the teams that are seriously in the at-large tournament picture:


>95% Chance: N/A
Good Bet: Wichita State, Cincinnati
The Extended Bubble: Houston, UCF, Temple, UConn, SMU


>95% Chance: Duke, UNC, Virginia
Good Bet: Clemson, Louisville
The Extended Bubble: Miami, Florida State, Syracuse, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, NC State, Boston College

Big 10

>95% Chance: Purdue
Good Bet: Michigan State
The Extended Bubble: Ohio State, Michigan, Maryland, Nebraska, Minnesota, Indiana


>95% Chance: Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas Tech, West Virginia
Good Bet: N/A
The Extended Bubble: TCU, Texas, Kansas State, Oklahoma State, Baylor, Iowa State

Big East

>95% Chance: Villanova
Good Bet: Xavier, Seton Hall
The Extended Bubble: Creighton, Butler, Providence, Marquette


>95% Chance: N/A
Good Bet: Arizona, Arizona State
The Extended Bubble: UCLA, USC, Washington, Colorado, Utah, Oregon, Stanford


>95% Chance: N/A
Good Bet: Auburn, Kentucky, Tennessee
The Extended Bubble: Arkansas, Texas A&M, Florida, Georgia, Missouri, Mississippi State, South Carolina, Ole Miss, LSU


>95% Chance: N/A
Good Bet: N/A
The Extended Bubble: Rhode Island, Nevada, Gonzaga, St. Bonaventure, St. Mary’s, Boise State, Middle Tennessee, Western Kentucky, San Diego State, BYU, South Dakota State, Missouri State, Loyola-Chicago

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