Tuesday Bracket / Thoughts

Michigan State’s Freefall from the One Line:

If you’ve been following the site this season, you’re aware Michigan State had a leaner resume than a highly seeded team should have.  But following a stretch where the Spartans were easily handled by Ohio State and Michigan (while also getting taken to overtime by Rutgers), the thin resume of the Spartans can no longer prop them up into a protected seed.  They now find themselves at a six.  Look at this team sheet from http://www.WarrenNolan.com:

The Spartans may be ninth in the AP poll, but they certainly haven’t earned it.  They do have a nice win over UNC at the Phil Knight Invitational, but what’s their next best win? Surely, it is Notre Dame or Maryland at home.  While those wins were completely dominant, the committee rightfully cares more about your ability to beat great teams than to dominate bubble teams on your home floor.  With only one Group One win and just a .250 winning percentage against Group One opponents, the Spartans are holding onto a six seed based on talent and efficiency numbers.  At this point, winning out is the only possible path to a one seed, and even that would likely not be enough.

ACC Battle for the Top Line:

Duke overtakes Virginia on the one line in today’s bracket.  It has nothing to do with UVA failing in any way, but it really has to do with Duke’s overall body of work coming together. 


Check out this side-by-side comparison of the two ACC rivals: 

Look how much more impressive Duke is on the far left side of their team sheets.  They have four wins against top 50 teams, and not one of them was played in Cameron Indoor.  UVA counters with a home win against UNC and a neutral court win over Rhode Island.  Remember, UVA started conference play by playing four of their first five at JPJ.  Going on the road in ACC play will give us a much better picture of UVA’s one seed chops.


1 Villanova
16 Bethune-Cookman / Nicholls State

8 Florida State
9 Texas

5 Ohio State
12 Buffalo

4 Kentucky
13 Belmont

6 Cincinnati
11 Syracuse / Butler

3 West Virginia
14 Louisiana

7 Creighton
10 Missouri

2 Virginia
15 Radford


1 Duke
16 Robert Morris

8 Florida
9 Marquette

5 Michigan
12 Middle Tennessee

4 Arizona State

11 St Bonaventure / LSU

3 Wichita State
14 Montana

7 Louisville
10 Providence

2 Texas Tech
15 Penn


1 Oklahoma
16 Jackson State / FGCU

8 Gonzaga
9 Texas A&M

5 Tennessee
12 South Dakota St

4 Xavier
13 Wright St

6 Miami

3 Auburn
14 Rider

7 Arkansas
10 Washington

2 Clemson
15 Bucknell


1 Purdue
16 Cal State Fullerton

8 Nevada
9 Alabama

5 Arizona
12 New Mexico St

4 Seton Hall
13 Vermont

6 Michigan St
11 Georgia

14 William and Mary

7 Rhode Island
10 Notre Dame

2 Kansas
15 Drake

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