12/31 Bracket

THE ONE SEEDS – Duke, Villanova, Oklahoma, Arizona State. After a weekend in which Villanova falls to Butler and Arizona State loses to rival Arizona, neither fall from the one line but Michigan State does?! Well, yeah. Villanova has been the most consistently complete team this season, and a tough loss at Butler doesn’t change that. As for Arizona State, losing at Arizona is completely excusable and those wins away from Tempe over Kansas and Xavier are more impressive than anything Michigan State has done. In fact, Michigan State only has two Group One or Two wins, UNC and… Oakland. Meanwhile, Oklahoma couldn’t be denied the one line after winning at TCU. The Sooners now have road wins over Wichita State and the Horned Frogs to go with a win over USC in California. With Trae Young looking like the Wooden winner and three strong wins, the one-loss Sooners are more proven than the Spartans and deserve the one line.

To further show why Michigan State is at the two line despite being on a long winning streak, compare the team sheets of Arizona State and Michigan State from www.warrennolan.com:

Pay attention to the wins against Group One opposition.  Arizona State has three such wins to just one for Michigan State.  And SOS is completely in ASU’s favor at 48th to 116th.  The bottom line is all of my one line teams have one loss, but MSU simply isn’t facing as tough of competition to show their record is as legitimate as the other one seed contenders.

XAVIER – The Musketeers are second in RPI, have just one loss, and have four wins against Groups One and Two in the RPI. But they are down at a three seed because they simply don’t look great. Xavier barely survived East Tennessee State, Marshall, and DePaul at home, and their Group One “big wins” are against Marquette and Northern Iowa, neither of which are in the field right now. This team simply isn’t better than Kansas, West Virginia, or Purdue, so they shouldn’t get a two seed over them.

EAST

1 VILLANOVA
16 McNEESE STATE / NC A&T

8 ST BONAVENTURE
9 NEVADA

5 MIAMI FL
12 MARYLAND / CREIGHTON

4 ARKANSAS
13 UCSB

6 AUBURN
11 USC

3 TCU
14 ALBANY

7 CINCINNATI
10 ST MARY’S

2 PURDUE
15 FURMAN

MIDWEST

1 OKLAHOMA
16 WAGNER

8 GEORGIA
9 HOUSTON

5 WICHITA STATE
12 WESTERN KENTUCKY

4 VIRGINIA
13 MISSOURI ST

6 KENTUCKY
11 FLORIDA ST

3 XAVIER
14 CENTRAL MICH

7 MISSOURI
10 UCLA

2 MICHIGAN STATE
15 MURRAY ST

WEST

1 ARIZONA STATE
16 WRIGHT STATE

8 GONZAGA
9 PROVIDENCE

5 TEXAS TECH
12 SMU / VIRGINIA TECH

4 SETON HALL
13 LIPSCOMB

6 BUTLER
11 UTAH

3 UNC
14 CHARLESTON

7 SYRACUSE
10 MINNESOTA

2 WEST VIRGINIA
15 S DAKOTA

SOUTH

1 DUKE
16 PENN / MONTANA

8 WASHINGTON
9 RHODE ISLAND

5 TENNESSEE
12 NEW MEXICO STATE

4 ARIZONA
13 IONA

6 CLEMSON
11 TEXAS

3 TEXAS A&M
14 LOUISIANA

7 ALABAMA
10 MICHIGAN

2 KANSAS
15 RADFORD

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