Bubble Tracker

Currently, there are 6 teams from the BUBBLE that will make the tournament, barring bid thieves or teams that are PROBABLY IN falling out of that category.

A team’s MAGIC NUMBER is the # of REGULAR SEASON wins a team needs to clinch a bid.

LOCKS – Duke, Virginia, UNC, Louisville, Florida St, Virginia Tech
PROBABLY IN – Syracuse
BUBBLE – NC State, Clemson

Syracuse is almost certainly in. Clemson is very unlikely to land a bid after a loss by one to NC State, who still likely needs to beat Virginia to make the field.
LOCKS – Marquette, Villanova, Seton Hall
PROBABLY IN – St John’s
BUBBLE – Georgetown, Xavier, Creighton, Providence

Seton Hall locked up a bid by beating Villanova, but the attention is on the cut line where five Big East teams are playing for a bid at MSG after Providence beat Butler. St John’s is probably all locked up after beating DePaul at MSG.
LOCKS – Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue, Wisconsin, Maryland
PROBABLY IN – Iowa, Minnesota
BUBBLE – Ohio State, Indiana

Minnesota losing at Maryland shouldn’t affect their position in the field. Ohio State lost to Northwestern and falls very close to the cut line. Iowa should be fine, but they keep getting blown out. Ohio State is about as close to a winner is in and loser is out game as you can get, though there are certainly no guarantees either way.
LOCKS – Kansas, Texas Tech, Kansas State, Iowa State, Baylor
PROBABLY IN – Oklahoma, TCU
BUBBLE – Texas

Texas desperately needs to beat Kansas in Kansas City. Texas is likely playing a true do or die game against the Jayhawks. TCU is all but in after surviving a huge OSU comeback in KC. Oklahoma lost in heartbreaking fashion to West Virginia, but it would be shocking if they aren’t in the NCAA field.
LOCKS – none
PROBABLY IN – Washington
BUBBLE – Arizona State

Arizona State is right near the cut line, but probably on the right side of it after winning at Arizona.
LOCKS – Tennessee, Kentucky, LSU, Mississippi State, Auburn, Ole Miss
PROBABLY IN: none
BUBBLE – Alabama, Florida

Florida couldn’t hold onto a win at Kentucky that would’ve sealed a bid. But Ole Miss won at Missouri to clinch a spot.

LOCKS – Gonzaga, Houston, Nevada, Buffalo, Cincinnati , UCF, St Mary’s, Wofford

PROBABLY IN – VCU
BUBBLE – Utah State, Furman, Lipscomb, Temple, Belmont, UNCG